Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 7.484172 8.546951 9.717714 11.104883 12.705937 14.498583 16.661738
2025-08-24 5.922388 7.271466 8.876034 10.931662 13.504652 16.630991 20.736241
2025-08-31 4.969717 6.422355 8.246734 10.718539 13.999215 18.230325 24.143282
2025-09-07 4.537317 6.118327 8.196059 11.146571 15.261447 20.844571 29.075062
2025-09-14 4.105136 5.739714 7.972680 11.274294 16.080171 22.894781 33.421534
2025-09-21 3.710739 5.356262 7.682308 11.246920 16.637342 24.588725 37.400137
2025-09-28 3.356108 4.984905 7.359158 11.117316 17.000632 25.997367 41.064272
2025-10-05 3.183146 4.859363 7.375922 11.485641 18.138751 28.675486 47.001239
2025-10-12 3.011982 4.716123 7.345562 11.766228 19.150578 31.236384 53.019301
2025-10-19 2.886803 4.630425 7.391834 12.165238 20.382437 34.264559 60.164401
2025-10-26 2.634184 4.314904 7.037941 11.861026 20.386297 35.197336 63.689035
2025-11-02 2.437334 4.073739 6.783595 11.697370 20.608095 36.514809 68.040903
2025-11-09 2.258863 3.851444 6.546470 11.548716 20.854246 37.922912 72.780751
2025-11-16 2.093039 3.637132 6.304678 11.367775 21.020092 39.194101 77.400742
2025-11-23 1.937850 3.428444 6.054451 11.145550 21.080313 40.259411 81.715298
2025-11-30 1.894778 3.417522 6.157261 11.591871 22.468211 44.042656 92.111049
2025-12-07 1.811169 3.324779 6.101054 11.725060 23.245108 46.676199 100.368579
2025-12-14 1.713478 3.197679 5.969557 11.696515 23.686971 48.658715 107.425566
2025-12-21 1.610922 3.053329 5.793411 11.561364 23.891039 50.153944 113.551082
2025-12-28 1.576535 3.038697 5.867951 11.945464 25.233624 54.241905 126.242987
2026-01-04 1.533521 3.003442 5.898174 12.238092 26.403819 58.067771 138.803523
2026-01-11 1.505431 2.995896 5.983179 12.654261 27.888447 62.762358 154.137196
2026-01-18 1.406467 2.835788 5.742123 12.336963 27.669891 63.467819 159.403977